What might be driving the split
The data records the divergence clearly. What is causing it is less clear, and the report does not draw firm conclusions. A few directions are worth considering.
One is the composition of the tenant market in the south. Around seven in ten rental properties in Rusholme are classified as student-friendly, and Fallowfield and Withington follow a similar profile. If student demand has softened, whether due to more purpose-built accommodation coming onto the market, shifts in where students choose to live, or changes in international student numbers, that would show up most visibly in areas where students make up the bulk of tenants.
Another possibility is new supply entering specific northern districts. Strangeways, for example, is in the middle of a transition from its industrial past into a residential neighbourhood. The Waterhouse Gardens development on the former Boddingtons Brewery site began welcoming residents in late 2025. New-build stock entering a market tends to shift the rental mix toward higher price points, which pushes the average up even if underlying demand has not changed dramatically.
A third factor could simply be shifting tenant preferences, with more renters prioritising proximity to the city centre and employment hubs over the traditionally popular southern areas. The faster absorption times in central districts are consistent with that, though they do not prove it.
None of these explanations is complete on its own, and it is likely a combination of several factors rather than a single cause. What the data does show clearly is the outcome: two distinct patterns running simultaneously in the same city.